As the title says, I'm interested in the average number of tickets you need to spend in order to get the event bird. I did some numerical analysis based on the rules of the event. The attached graph shows just this, but even more. What it shows is the number of tickets you on average need to spend to get the event bird, based on that you already spent x number of tickets without any luck. So, for x=0, you can see that the average number of tickets you need to spend is a bit more than 50, or x10/x11 as shown in the hatching hut. If you spent around 100 tickets without any luck, to can see in the graph that you on average need to spend around 18 more. For me, it's interesting to see this graph. I vote that you can get some use of it as well... And sorry for the Swedish, maybe I'll create an English version as well.